The exchanges give
older people a bad deal in terms of social justice and economics.
As the data on the pricing of plans offered by the new
health insurance exchanges become available to consumers and as the exchanges
become more transparent about their metrics of success and how their operations
are performing, opportunities for improvement are becoming clear. This blog focuses on how one health insurance exchange, Healthsoure RI, gives older people
a bad deal in terms of social justice and economics…and what to do about it.
Age Discrimination
Reed Abelson’s New York Times article, “In New Health Law, A Bridge to Medicare”, proclaims that early retirees are the “big winners” with
the new health insurance exchanges because they are better off than they were before. True, they are better off now that Obamacare
makes it illegal for health insurers to deny coverage on the basis of
pre-existing conditions. Also, their
premium rates may be better because
the age bands for rating insurance are limited to “only” three, meaning that
early retirees are subject to three times the premium cost compared to
twenty-somethings for the same insurance product.
I noted in an op-ed in the Providence Journal, “Don’t Balance Healthcare on the Backs of the Elderly”, that the premium and out-of-pocket costs for medical care for a mid-level plan
from Healthsource RI, could
amount to almost a third of the income for sick, older people who do not
qualify for subsidies. I interpreted
this as a social justice concern. Abelson’s
“better off” argument just does not cut it when it comes to discrimination. Age rating should go the way of other forms of discrimination that were made illegal under Obamacare including for gender,
health status, and pre-existing conditions.
Economics
If the rates are so bad for older people on the
exchanges, how do they compare to the rates currently available on the open market? The press is touting big drops in the rates
for insurance at the exchanges. Another piece
by Abelson (and Rabin), “Health Plan Cost for New Yorkers Set to Fall 50%”, asserts that “individuals buying health
insurance on their own will see their premiums tumble next year in New York
State” and one interviewee for the piece said that “health insurance has
suddenly become affordable in New York.”
What's true for the average New Yorker, if there is one, is not true for all. There is certainly variation around any
average and older people will be at the tail of the distribution. HealthPocket, which provides consumers
complete information about the insurance options available to them, addressed the issue of affordability of
insurance plans on the exchanges for older people in four states, including
California, Connecticut, Ohio, and Rhode Island. Their
analysis concluded that “anyone expecting major price declines for older
consumers will be disappointed”.
I went
to the HealthPocket website to find the prices for plans on the market today
for older people in my state, Rhode Island. Compared to the plans and prices on the
exchange, the value of the insurance is better off than on the exchange. (Note
that I was unsuccessful in finding the age band rates for New York on the NY State of Health website or on the Internet.) Here’s the data: The
mid-level silver plan referenced above (the plan where the costs could amount
to a third of income) from Healthsoure RI is called VantageBlue Direct and
offered by Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Rhode Island. It has a $3000 deductible and a $6000
out-of-pocket limit with a cost for a 64 year old of $8366 per year. A VantageBlue Direct plan, available directly
from the same insurance carrier, has a $1000 deductible and a $3000
out-of-pocket maximum per year and costs $7608 for the same age (without a pre-existing
condition). That’s quite a savings, over
$700 per year for insurance and a big reduction in the out-of-pocket max of
$2000. In addition to the name of the
plan being exactly the same, the benefits and copays are very similar. For example, the co-pays for seeing a primary
care physician or a specialist are the same.
The co-pay for hospitalization and emergency room visits are exactly the
same. But the big issue for a sick older
person when it comes to insurance is the annual out-of-pocket maximum and the
off-exchange deal is much better.
An important goal of the state exchanges is to negotiate
rates locally so that citizens get the best deals, as is done by large
employers, the Federal Employees Health Benefit Plan, and state governments. Although this may be true on the exchanges
for the average citizen, it is not true for older people. They will face affordability sticker shock
whether on the exchange or not. If they
were in these other group plans as above, they would not pay more because age
rating is just not the norm.
Very High
Administrative Costs
The federal government has pumped a lot of money into the
exchanges. It will have provided the
State of Rhode Island with over $100 million by 2015 when it will cut the
umbilical cord and expect the exchanges to be self-sustaining. Even the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, which
has been running an exchange for five years and is the model for the country, received over $136 million from the federal government between February 2012
and January 2013.
The Rhode Island exchange is an expensive program for a
small state. It is budgeted at $28
million per year for 2013 and 2014.
State legislators are concerned about the budget for 2015 when they will
be on the hook for paying for it. In a letter to the editor to the Providence
Journal, “Whopping Costs for RI Exchange”, I noted that if the program achieves its stated primary goal of a 10 percent
reduction in the number of people uninsured by 2015, the cost of operating
the exchange amounts to almost 30 percent of its overall expenditures (using
its own projections of "target populations" and "potential
premium range" and adding in premiums for Medicaid to determine
expenditures). Even if it achieved 25 percent in years to come, the
administrative cost would still be more than ten times that of Medicare at 1.4 percent of its total $549 billion in expenditures and twice what private health
insurers are allowed spend on administration and profit (the medical loss ratio).
I also noted that the administrative costs to get people
insured amounts to more than the costs to actually insure them. Even if the
exchange were to achieve an unrealistically high 50 percent reduction in the
number of people uninsured, or about 50,000 people, by 2020, at a total cost of more than $200 million between the federal government at $100 million and the exchange costs between
2015 and 2020 of over $100 million, the cost per new enrollee would be $4,000
which happens to be higher than the average cost of the health insurance for a
year.
Making Exchanges
Better
It is important to step back and acknowledge that the overarching
goal of the exchanges is to get many more people insured. And, it is important for the exchanges to
determine the subsidies for those in need and to enroll people in a fair and
efficient way. Obamacare has done almost
everything politically feasible in terms of legislation to make this
happen. But, what is decreed in
Washington is implemented locally.
There are models for exchanges that do not jeopardize social
justice, have a proven record of economic results and customer satisfaction,
and do so at low administrative costs.
The best example is Medicare. It
has low administrative costs and has kept healthcare cost increases lower than
the private sector over the long term. It does not discriminate on age in its
pricing. It serves a social good that is
paid for by the ability to pay, not by charging more to the sick or the
old. Most retirees love the program,
even those who dislike government “intruding” in their lives. Their common refrain is, “Do not take my
Medicare away.”
As the exchanges come on line in just a few weeks they
will provide transparency about prices for insurance, their administrative
costs, and who the winners and losers will be.
It is important to recognize that the exchanges are an additional
overlay to a relatively high-cost private health insurance system. In hindsight, it might have been better to
allow older people to enroll early in Medicare as they can do with Social
Security. It might have been better to
have a single payer system. But, “it is
what it is” after 50 years of debate.
What is critical for the exchanges to accomplish in order to be self-sustaining beyond 2015 is to stop age discrimination and adopt
community rating, reduce administrative costs by achieving economies of scale
across states, and make a difference in peoples’ lives by assuring sufficient
and affordable health insurance benefits.